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Advisory - Tropical System Lorenzo

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020
700 AM CDT TUE JUN 02 2020

...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE BAY OF 
CAMPECHE...
...LIFE-THREATENING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 92.4W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...5 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMPECHE TO PUERTO DE VERACRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH (5 KM/H).  THE
DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OR 
SOUTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, AND MEANDER OVER THE SOUTHERN
BAY OF CAMPECHE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE
CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE COAST OF THE
SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS, AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
LATER TODAY.  AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED 
TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM LATER THIS MORNING.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT3, WMO
HEADER WTNT43 KNHC, AND ON THE WEB AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT3.SHTML

RAINFALL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 25 INCHES OVER PARTS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF TABASCO, VERACRUZ,
AND CAMPECHE.  THE DEPRESSION IS ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER NORTHERN CHIAPAS AND OTHER
MEXICAN STATES, QUINTANA ROO AND YUCATAN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 10
TO 15 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES IS EXPECTED ALONG
THE PACIFIC COASTS OF CHIAPAS, GUATEMALA, AND EL SALVADOR. SOME OF
THESE PACIFIC LOCATIONS RECEIVED 20 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND,
AND STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 35 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL IN ALL
OF THESE AREAS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.

WIND:  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Tropical Depression Lorenzo
Latitude 19.6N
Longitude 92.4W
Maximum Winds 35 MPH
Pressure 1003 MB
Direction/Speed W @ 3 MPH

Last Updated: 700 AM CDT



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