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Advisory - Tropical System Florence

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OSCAR ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162018
500 PM AST WED OCT 31 2018

...OSCAR BECOMES A HURRICANE-FORCE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...HIGH SURF TO SUBSIDE ON BERMUDA TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.3N 49.6W
ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
ABOUT 975 MI...1570 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OSCAR
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 49.6 WEST.  THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR
35 MPH (56 KM/H), AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH SOME
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO TO THREE
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH (120 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS, OSCAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO
THE WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 320
MILES (520 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB (28.82 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  SWELLS GENERATED BY OSCAR THAT ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA WILL
SUBSIDE TONIGHT.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON OSCAR.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1, WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC, AND AVAILABLE ON THE
WEB AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFAT1.SHTML.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Hurricane Florence
Latitude 39.3N
Longitude 49.6W
Maximum Winds 75 MPH
Pressure 976 MB
Direction/Speed NNE @ 35 MPH

Last Updated: 500 PM AST



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